Thracia
Patron
- Joined
- Aug 1, 2011
- Messages
- 28,068
I was doing a bit of maths around this before.
Technically, we're on track for around 49 points under Heckingbottom. Although we've earned 19 points from 19 games, he wasn't in charge for the first two games so he's earned us 19 points from 17 games. That'd put us about 1.118 points per game which, over the course of 44 games (taking away the two from the start of the season), would be 49 points
Looking at last season, of the bottom 10 teams at this stage, 7 of them were still in the bottom 10 at the end of the season, and 3 of the 7 went down. The season before, it was 6 out of the 10 stayed bottom 10; the season before that 8 out of 10 stayed in the bottom 10 (and in fact 8 out of the bottom 8 stayed in the bottom 8!).
Although it's early days and everything looks possible, a lot of features of the bottom 10 are probably already baked in. We just need to hope we're not one of them.