The maths has taken a bit longer this morning (although admittedly a bit thick headed this morning).
As I see it, our play off chances ride on what Blackburn do. We now need them to lose to Luton and beat Millwall, so both them and Millwall finish on 68 vs our 69. Sunderland might finish on 68 too of they beat Watford.
Overtaking Coventry is a bit trickier, we need them to only pick up a maximum 2 points from their last two games v Brum and Boro.
As has been said, doesn't matter what Sunderland do.
Also need to consider WBA, who we need to only take a max 4 points from their last 2 v Norwich and Swansea.
In that scenario you might get us on 69 in 5th, and Millwall, Sunderland, Coventry and Blackburn on 68 in places 6th to 9th, and WBA on 67 in 10th.
Probably won't work out that way, we don't actually need all that to go for us, just one of the scenarios where we can finish on 69 in 6th.
Having said all that, we'll draw or lose today and that will be that!